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The successful punter accepts the mathematical certainty that they will be wrong more often than they will be right. (Even the term punter is a negative ???? betting on racing or in fact any sports betting should be a calculated risk an investment ?????) Bookies make their fortunes out of favourites - so with only around 30% of favourites winning races you must be sure which are the "true fav's" and which are the "false" ones. Then bet accordingly. Once you have established what price to take the next thing is to stake yourself accordingly - simply price your horses to a 90% market (reverse bookmaking) - this way you can back two or three horses and still have a favourable outcome.e.g. if you price a horse $3.0 (2/1 - 33.3%) then your stake to take out $100 is $33.3 - now the most important thing to making the most of pricing your horse correctly is, if your horse is $3.3 or $33.0 your stake remains the same. This will ensure that accurate pricing will result in huge wins when you are right. We are all gamblers by nature - the keys is to take less risk and put the odds in your favour - You don't have to be a big punter to be a good punter - Always bet within your means and stake yourself correctly.
Value is an overused word and even less understood - giving a horse a numerical rating (chance of winning) is key to all punting success. Understanding which are the "live chances" in each race and pricing them accordingly to their true winning chances - not the prices on offer. We’ve devoted countless hours over many years to develop a system that delivers a consistent stream of winners of Australian thoroughbred races. we find the best value and class competent horses relative to the field.
Getting the right value for your runner is about as important as picking winners in horse racing.
Using our sophisticated class based algorithm to predict winning opportunities by percentage we can calculate what we believe to be the true probability of the horse winning a race.Our ratings help produce exact markets that enable us to obtain maximum value on their turnover.